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Evolution du trafic mondial

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Poncho (Admin)
Whisky Charlie

Evolution du trafic mondial

Message par Poncho (Admin) le Ven 2 Oct 2009 - 17:11

Bonjour,

http://www.atwonline.com/news/story.html?storyID=18067


IATA: Signs of 'upturn' but fuel prices, 'capacity overhang' threaten yields
Friday October 2, 2009
IATA reported yesterday that investors "looked more favorably" at airlines in September "as signs emerged of an upturn in this highly cyclical industry," but it reiterated that the worldwide industry is on pace for an $11 billion full-year loss.

In its latest Airlines Financial Monitor released yesterday, the organization noted that oil and jet fuel prices were $10 per barrel higher in the third quarter than in the second quarter and $14 per barrel higher in the third quarter than in the year's first half. "This rise in fuel costs will be a significant offset to any bottom line benefits from improved traffic volumes," it said.

Worldwide seasonally adjusted passenger km. flown were up 3% over the second quarter in the first two months of the third quarter, IATA pointed out, adding that the "upturn has been driven by the recent rise in economic growth following the massive government and central bank stimulus packages. Forecasters are getting more positive on Q4 but it is still not clear whether economic recovery will continue to strengthen or fizzle out in 2010."

It reported that passenger load factors rose "sharply [in August and September] and are now higher than in the previous two years." But it noted that while "better load factors mean better profit," that may be mitigated because aircraft "are not being flown as intensively." For example, average hr. flown by 747s and 777s are down 2%-3%, raising unit costs.

IATA said that since the end of the first quarter, more than 100 aircraft have been taken out of storage, "only just exceeded by retirements." With more than 480 aircraft delivered, the worldwide fleet is now 2% larger compared to the end of the first quarter. "Since capacity. . .has remained flat that means average aircraft hours have fallen a further 2% or so during the period, offsetting some of the bottom line benefits of higher load factors and building up a potential capacity overhang to threaten yields in the months ahead," it warned.


by Aaron Karp

En résumé :
- le trafic reprend doucement
- les charges restent élevées, surtout le fuel qui reste haut
- les ajustements de capacités ont été effectués, mais ils se traduisent par une diminution de l'utilisation moyenne de la flotte, et donc des surcouts malgré tout

Bon début de WE


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Poncho (Admin)
Whisky Charlie

Re: Evolution du trafic mondial

Message par Poncho (Admin) le Ven 30 Oct 2009 - 7:52

Bonjour à tous

Un article intéressant qui formalise ce qu'on présentait dans la réalité :

http://www.atwonline.com/news/story.html?storyID=18346


IATA: Apparent September traffic improvement 'misleading,' yields remain 'disaster'
Friday October 30, 2009

IATA reported that September international passenger traffic rose 0.3% year-over-year while cargo traffic fell 5.4%, but warned that the apparent improvement after months of declining passenger traffic and a steep drop in cargo demand is "misleading" because the economic downturn is starting to lap itself.

It cautioned that the seemingly positive September numbers are "largely due to comparisons with an exceptionally weak September 2008 when traffic fell sharply (-2.9% for passenger and -7.7% for cargo)." It noted that load factors for passenger and cargo did return "to pre-crisis levels" in September at 77.1% and 50.8% respectively.

"It is far too early to call this a recovery," DG and CEO Giovanni Bisignani said. "The worst may be over in terms of the fall in demand, but yields continue to be a disaster and costs are rising. The airline industry remains firmly in the red with a fragile business environment." The drop in yields remained "precipitous" in September, according to IATA. Economy yields were down 14% year-over-year, premium sank 18% and cargo lowered 20%. Passenger demand "is now 5% better than the low point reached in March 2009, but 6% below the peak recorded in early 2008," it said.


by Aaron Karp

Rapidement

Le trafic passager est maintenant 6% au dessus de min de mars 2009 mais reste 5% sous le pic de début 2009 (c.f. propos du CEO de SIA)
Les facteurs de charge sont revenus globalement à ceux d'avant la crise (effet des ajustements de flottes et de dessertes)
Mais les Yields (toujours pas de traduction correcte ?) restent mauvais
* -14% en classe éco
* -18% en classe affaire et première
* -20% en cargo
Reflétant bien les tensions sur les prix...
En parallèle les coûts d'opération augmentent (baisse de la rentabilité globale des flottes moins bien utilisées, prix du carburant....)

Voilà

Bonne journée


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patrick1956
Whisky Quebec

Re: Evolution du trafic mondial

Message par patrick1956 le Mar 8 Avr 2014 - 15:04

Tous d'abord je tiens a m'excusez si éventuellement c'est pas le bon forum
je me pose la question sur le partage des lignes entre cie qui était a la mode ils a quelques années
je me rend compte que depuis quelques mois qu'il a une multitude de cie qui ne souhaite plus partager leurs lignes
je cherche le pourquoi de ce changement d'attitude
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patrick1956
Whisky Quebec

Re: Evolution du trafic mondial

Message par patrick1956 le Dim 27 Avr 2014 - 19:08

une nouvelle cie en chine prend son envol
http://www.air-journal.fr/2014-04-26-la-nouvelle-compagnie-chinoise-qingdao-airlines-decolle-5104942.html
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patrick1956
Whisky Quebec

Re: Evolution du trafic mondial

Message par patrick1956 le Mer 16 Juil 2014 - 17:54

Je sais pas si c'est le bon forum et désole mais c'est air journal
D'ailleurs il faudra me dire pourquoi il est pas bien se site
revenons a nos mouton les diffèrent classement des cies
http://www.air-journal.fr/2014-07-16-skytrax-cathay-pacific-meilleure-compagnie-au-monde-en-2014-5110721.html
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patrick1956
Whisky Quebec

Re: Evolution du trafic mondial

Message par patrick1956 le Mar 5 Aoû 2014 - 10:16

je suis pas sure d'être sur le bon forum pour mettre cette info
veuillez m'excusez par avance
une éventuelle interdiction de survol de la Sibérie suite au sanction de le communauté international a l'égard de la Russie du au conflit de l'Ukraine
 
http://www.journal-aviation.com/actualites/27566-siberie-les-compagnies-europeennes-pourraient-etre-interdites-de-survol-par-la-russie
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patrick1956
Whisky Quebec

Re: Evolution du trafic mondial

Message par patrick1956 le Ven 29 Aoû 2014 - 9:05

Islande et ces volcans
va t'il avoir encore des vols annules
http://www.air-journal.fr/2014-08-29-islande-le-survol-du-volcan-de-nouveau-interdit-5113516.html
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patrick1956
Whisky Quebec

Re: Evolution du trafic mondial

Message par patrick1956 le Lun 13 Oct 2014 - 5:50

Encore une qui passe a la trappe
http://www.air-journal.fr/2014-10-12-la-compagnie-italienne-livingston-arrete-ses-operations-5117520.html
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patrick1956
Whisky Quebec

Re: Evolution du trafic mondial

Message par patrick1956 le Lun 12 Jan 2015 - 6:30

Bonjour a tous
sa peu être intéressant les cies les plus sure
http://www.air-journal.fr/2015-01-10-les-dix-compagnies-aeriennes-les-plus-sures-en-2015-5133158.html

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Re: Evolution du trafic mondial

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    La date/heure actuelle est Ven 21 Sep 2018 - 13:19