Pas forcément le meilleurs endroit pour ce message, mais bon
http://blog.seattlepi.com/aerospace/archives/195834.asp
Analyst: Don't forget about the Atlantic
For all their advances in materials and design, Boeing and Airbus' newest airliners probably won't boost efficiency on many routes, according to a prominent analyst.
"I'll bet a 1995-model 767-300ER will have better costs for many trans-Atlantic flights than the all-new 787," analyst Richard Aboulafia, vice president of analysis at Teal Group, wrote this month. "Ditto for a 1995-model A330-300 relative to the all-new A350XWB."
Why? Plane makers are caught up in the hype about how Asia will take over the world and, so, are designing jets for long Pacific routes, Aboulafia wrote.
"Like the A380, the 787 and A350 XWB are baselined for airlines that need lots of range, even if the operating economics are much worse for routes shorter than 6,000 nautical miles," he wrote. "Both offer revolutionary new materials and features, but they have big wings and big fuel tanks."
The eventual replacement or upgraded 777 probably will go the same way, he said. "In an age of production line rationalizations, the lower level of demand coming from those old fogey slow-growth economies on either side of the Atlantic might not be enough to sustain these products."
China could pull a neat trick by developing a twin-aisle twin-engine jet optimized for routes of 4,000 to 5,000 nautical miles, Aboulafia wrote. "It would serve the pundits right -- an Asian industrial power succeeding because the Western manufacturers were too busy following the pundits' advice and designing planes primarily for Pacific needs."
Aboulafia sees a similar dynamic at work in the fighter market.
Aboulafia pointe sur une dérive du marché des gros porteurs vers l'ultra long range... au détriment des moyens / long courriers
En particuleirs il pointe sur la focalisation d'airbus et boeing sur le marché transpacifique...
Selon lui sur un transatlantique un 767-300ER ou un A330-300 resteront plus économiques...
Personnellement, je trouve étonnant qu'il n'y ait pas de remplaçant à un A300-600R... et pas non plus réellement au 767 pour le moyen courrier.
Aboulafia y voit une porte entre ouverte pour les industriels chinois...
Pour ma part je note aussi qu'une grosse part du trafic asiatique se fait aussi en moyen courrier... il doit y avoir du monde au dessus de la mer jaune...
Pour l'A380... il n'est pas optimisé Moyen Courrier (sinon il aurait été bimoteur ) mais sa surface de pont sans concurrence permet probablement de passer outre cette "non optimisation".
Bonne journée